Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Florida State's Jimbo Fisher is no different than former LSU coach Les Miles


Be not afraid of greatness: some are born great, some achieve greatness, and some have greatness thrust upon 'em. - from Twelfth Night

Florida State head coach Jimbo Fisher is garnering tons of negative attention and justifiably so.

His team was ranked third in the nation before losing to Alabama in a contest where FSU's starting quarterback was knocked out for the year.

The Seminoles never got off of the bus a couple of weeks later against North Carolina State.

FSU squeaked by Wake Forest on a last-minute touchdown, followed by a heart-crunching, last-second defeat at the hands of the hated Miami Hurricanes.

And the 'Noles are now 1-3.

FSU could easily be 3-1, but it's not. Great teams find ways to win. Losers accept ways to lose.

One of Florida State's prestigious websites didn't appreciate a blogger challenging Fisher's coaching choices nor the claim that FSU won't win against anyone except Delaware State the rest of the season because facts weren't utilized.

They were right. The Seminoles beat big, bad Wake.

Barely.

Apparently, facts and stats outweigh old fashioned opinions, so here goes:

Jimbo Fisher is Les Miles.

(In no way shape or form is this a championing for Miles to be FSU's next head coach. It's only for comparison purposes.)

Miles' LSU team lost to Alabama in the 2011 National Title game. In the three years after LSU's defeat, Miles regular-season record gradually declined, from 10-2 the following season to 8-4 by 2014 - a 75% winning percentage during the span.

He posted a 62% SEC winning percentage in the same time period, losing to unranked teams three times.

Miles never sniffed another SEC Championship Game before being fired in 2016

Since losing to Oregon in the inaugural College Football Playoff, Fisher is 20-9 - a 70% winning percentage.

This season hasn't concluded so there is time for Florida State's percentages to go up. Or down.

He has posted a 67% ACC winning percentage since 2015, while losing to three unranked teams.

Fisher hasn't come close to playing in the ACC Championship Game since the Jameis Winston-led, 2014 squad.

The difference is Fisher has been doing all of this with superior talent.

After winning the 2013 National Title, Fisher has never finished below fourth in any of the major recruiting services (ESPN, Rivals, and 247Sports).

On the other hand, Miles has never finished better than sixth since losing to 'Bama in 2011 - and even had a class finish 18th (2012, according to Rivals).

So Miles was doing a better job with lesser talent in a tougher conference. Or was it?

Fisher has had to deal with a slightly harder strength of schedule. From 2015 to present, FSU has averaged the 11th hardest strength of schedule, according to Sagarin.

LSU from 2012 to 2014 has had the 13th.

Chalk one up for Jimbo. Sort of...

Facts and data are boring, but are a necessary evil when evaluating coaches. Fisher has clearly been underachieving since 2015. Issues with the offensive line and defense have got to be addressed this off-season or else Fisher shouldn't be Florida State's head coach much longer.

Les is more, and Jimbo has done a lot less with more.

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